Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Williams-Sonoma Inc. (NYSE:WSM)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 24, 2024.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Williams-Sonoma Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Feb 2, 2020 Feb 3, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 1,034,060 1,172,531 1,237,417 799,145 399,368 390,105
Cost of capital2 23.02% 21.09% 22.13% 22.35% 17.31% 18.42%
Invested capital3 3,907,227 3,497,304 3,332,675 3,503,840 3,110,082 3,192,653
 
Economic profit4 134,576 435,119 500,058 16,210 (138,926) (197,887)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-03).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 1,034,060 – 23.02% × 3,907,227 = 134,576


The financial performance from 2019 to 2024 exhibits a significant transition from economic value destruction to substantial value creation, followed by a recent contraction in economic profit. The trajectory is characterized by a dramatic surge in operating profitability that initially offset rising capital costs, although recent trends indicate a tightening of economic margins.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Trends
A period of exponential growth is observed between 2020 and 2022, with NOPAT increasing from 399.37 million to a peak of 1.24 billion. This growth represents a significant expansion in operational efficiency and profitability. However, a downward trend emerged after 2022, with NOPAT declining to 1.03 billion by January 2024, suggesting a cooling of the operational momentum experienced in the prior years.
Cost of Capital and Invested Capital Dynamics
The cost of capital remained relatively volatile, increasing from 18.42% in 2019 to 23.02% by 2024. Concurrently, invested capital showed a general upward trajectory, remaining stable around 3.1 billion in the early period before rising to 3.91 billion in 2024. The simultaneous increase in both the cost of capital and the total capital base has heightened the threshold of profit required to generate positive economic value.
Economic Profit Evolution
Economic profit transitioned from negative values in 2019 and 2020—indicating that the company was not earning enough to cover its cost of capital—to a positive inflection point in 2021. Value creation peaked in 2022 at 500.06 million. A sharp decline is noted in the final period, where economic profit fell to 134.58 million in 2024. This contraction is the result of a compounding effect: declining NOPAT occurring alongside an increase in both invested capital and the cost of capital.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Williams-Sonoma Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Feb 2, 2020 Feb 3, 2019
Net earnings 949,762 1,127,904 1,126,337 680,714 356,062 333,684
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (29,085) (23,823) 2,535 (13,061) (2,557) 23,639
Increase (decrease) in gift card and other deferred revenue2 94,675 31,459 74,606 83,551 (832) (10,162)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 65,590 7,636 77,141 70,490 (3,389) 13,477
Interest income (expense), net (29,162) (2,260) 1,865 16,231 8,853 6,706
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 52,844 49,084 41,096 44,453 50,255 47,653
Adjusted interest income (expense), net 23,682 46,824 42,961 60,684 59,108 54,359
Tax benefit of interest income (expense), net5 (4,973) (9,833) (9,022) (12,744) (12,413) (11,415)
Adjusted interest income (expense), net, after taxes6 18,708 36,991 33,939 47,941 46,695 42,944
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 1,034,060 1,172,531 1,237,417 799,145 399,368 390,105

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-03).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in gift card and other deferred revenue.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,390,621 × 3.80% = 52,844

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest income (expense), net = Adjusted interest income (expense), net × Statutory income tax rate
= 23,682 × 21.00% = 4,973

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.


An analysis of the financial results from 2019 through 2024 reveals a trajectory of significant growth followed by a recent period of normalization. The metrics for Net Earnings and Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) demonstrate a synchronized pattern of expansion, reaching a zenith in the 2022-2023 window before exhibiting a downward trend in the most recent fiscal year.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Trends
NOPAT experienced a period of aggressive acceleration between 2020 and 2022. The value rose from $399.4 million in 2020 to a peak of $1.237 billion in 2022, representing a substantial increase in operational profitability. However, this peak was followed by a sequential decline, falling to $1.173 billion in 2023 and further to $1.034 billion in 2024.
Net Earnings Trajectory
Net earnings mirrored the NOPAT trend, with a notable surge occurring between 2020 and 2021, during which earnings nearly doubled from $356.1 million to $680.7 million. Earnings continued to climb, peaking at $1.128 billion in 2023. A contraction is evident in 2024, with net earnings decreasing to $949.8 million.
Comparative Operational Analysis
A consistent variance is observed between NOPAT and net earnings across all reporting periods. NOPAT remained higher than net earnings throughout the duration, indicating that core operating performance, when adjusted for capital structure effects, exceeded the final bottom-line profit. This gap was most pronounced during the high-growth period of 2022, where NOPAT exceeded net earnings by approximately $111 million.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Williams-Sonoma Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Feb 2, 2020 Feb 3, 2019
Provision for income taxes 323,593 372,778 324,914 213,752 100,959 95,563
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (29,085) (23,823) 2,535 (13,061) (2,557) 23,639
Add: Tax savings from interest income (expense), net 4,973 9,833 9,022 12,744 12,413 11,415
Cash operating taxes 357,651 406,434 331,401 239,557 115,929 83,339

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-03).


A significant upward trajectory in both tax-related metrics is observed from February 2019 through January 2023, followed by a moderate contraction in the final reporting period. The overall growth reflects a substantial increase in the tax burden over a five-year window, peaking in the period ending January 29, 2023.

Provision for Income Taxes Trend
The provision for income taxes exhibited a steady climb from 95,563 thousand USD in 2019 to a peak of 372,778 thousand USD in 2023. The most aggressive growth occurred between 2020 and 2022, during which the provision more than tripled. A subsequent reduction to 323,593 thousand USD was noted by January 28, 2024, indicating a decrease in estimated tax obligations.
Cash Operating Taxes Trend
Cash operating taxes followed a similar growth pattern, rising from 83,339 thousand USD in 2019 to 406,434 thousand USD in 2023. This represents a nearly fivefold increase over the period. Consistent with the tax provision, a downturn occurred in 2024, with cash taxes falling to 357,651 thousand USD.
Provision versus Cash Outflow Variance
While the provision for income taxes exceeded cash operating taxes in 2019, the relationship inverted starting in 2020. Throughout the subsequent four years, cash operating taxes remained consistently higher than the reported tax provision. This divergence suggests a trend of higher actual cash outflows for taxes relative to the accrued tax expense, which typically points to the settlement of prior period liabilities or specific timing differences in tax payments.

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Invested Capital

Williams-Sonoma Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Feb 2, 2020 Feb 3, 2019
Current debt — — — 299,350 299,818 —
Long-term debt — — — — — 299,620
Operating lease liability1 1,390,621 1,443,658 1,284,248 1,234,811 1,322,502 1,484,531
Total reported debt & leases 1,390,621 1,443,658 1,284,248 1,534,161 1,622,320 1,784,151
Stockholders’ equity 2,127,861 1,701,051 1,664,207 1,651,185 1,235,860 1,155,714
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (107,482) (78,988) (55,266) (58,741) (45,222) (41,525)
Gift card and other deferred revenue3 573,904 479,229 447,770 373,164 289,613 290,445
Equity equivalents4 466,422 400,241 392,504 314,423 244,391 248,920
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5 15,552 13,809 10,828 7,117 14,587 11,073
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 2,609,835 2,115,101 2,067,539 1,972,725 1,494,838 1,415,707
Construction in progress6 (93,229) (61,455) (19,112) (3,046) (7,076) (7,205)
Invested capital 3,907,227 3,497,304 3,332,675 3,503,840 3,110,082 3,192,653

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-03).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of gift card and other deferred revenue.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Invested capital exhibits an overall growth trend over the six-year period, increasing from 3,192,653 thousand US dollars in February 2019 to 3,907,227 thousand US dollars by January 2024. While the growth trajectory was non-linear, characterized by intermittent contractions in 2020 and 2022, the period concludes with a significant expansion of the capital base.

Debt and Lease Obligations
A general downward trend is observed in total reported debt and leases from February 2019 through January 2022, during which obligations declined from 1,784,151 thousand US dollars to 1,284,248 thousand US dollars. Despite a moderate increase in 2023, the final 2024 balance of 1,390,621 thousand US dollars remains substantially lower than the 2019 levels, indicating a long-term reduction in leveraged liabilities.
Stockholders' Equity Trajectory
Stockholders' equity demonstrates consistent and robust growth throughout the analyzed timeframe. Starting at 1,155,714 thousand US dollars in 2019, equity rose to 2,127,861 thousand US dollars by January 2024. Notable accelerations in equity accumulation are evident between 2020 and 2021, as well as between 2023 and 2024, reflecting a strong increase in the company's net worth.
Capital Structure Shift
The underlying composition of invested capital has undergone a fundamental shift. In February 2019, total debt and leases exceeded stockholders' equity. By January 2024, this dynamic reversed, with stockholders' equity becoming the dominant component of the invested capital. This transition indicates a strategic movement away from debt-reliance toward a more equity-heavy capital structure to support the business.

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Cost of Capital

Williams-Sonoma Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 18,916,324 18,916,324 ÷ 20,306,945 = 0.93 0.93 × 24.49% = 22.82%
Long-term debt3 — — ÷ 20,306,945 = 0.00 0.00 × 0.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.00%
Operating lease liability4 1,390,621 1,390,621 ÷ 20,306,945 = 0.07 0.07 × 3.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.21%
Total: 20,306,945 1.00 23.02%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 7,795,064 7,795,064 ÷ 9,238,722 = 0.84 0.84 × 24.49% = 20.67%
Long-term debt3 — — ÷ 9,238,722 = 0.00 0.00 × 0.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.00%
Operating lease liability4 1,443,658 1,443,658 ÷ 9,238,722 = 0.16 0.16 × 3.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.42%
Total: 9,238,722 1.00 21.09%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 10,630,071 10,630,071 ÷ 11,914,319 = 0.89 0.89 × 24.49% = 21.85%
Long-term debt3 — — ÷ 11,914,319 = 0.00 0.00 × 0.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.00%
Operating lease liability4 1,284,248 1,284,248 ÷ 11,914,319 = 0.11 0.11 × 3.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.27%
Total: 11,914,319 1.00 22.13%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 14,019,507 14,019,507 ÷ 15,553,668 = 0.90 0.90 × 24.49% = 22.08%
Long-term debt3 299,350 299,350 ÷ 15,553,668 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.79% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Operating lease liability4 1,234,811 1,234,811 ÷ 15,553,668 = 0.08 0.08 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.23%
Total: 15,553,668 1.00 22.35%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 3,246,162 3,246,162 ÷ 4,868,482 = 0.67 0.67 × 24.49% = 16.33%
Long-term debt3 299,818 299,818 ÷ 4,868,482 = 0.06 0.06 × 3.32% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.16%
Operating lease liability4 1,322,502 1,322,502 ÷ 4,868,482 = 0.27 0.27 × 3.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.82%
Total: 4,868,482 1.00 17.31%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-02).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 4,663,557 4,663,557 ÷ 6,447,708 = 0.72 0.72 × 24.49% = 17.72%
Long-term debt3 299,620 299,620 ÷ 6,447,708 = 0.05 0.05 × 3.21% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.12%
Operating lease liability4 1,484,531 1,484,531 ÷ 6,447,708 = 0.23 0.23 × 3.21% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.58%
Total: 6,447,708 1.00 18.42%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-03).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Williams-Sonoma Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Feb 2, 2020 Feb 3, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 134,576 435,119 500,058 16,210 (138,926) (197,887)
Invested capital2 3,907,227 3,497,304 3,332,675 3,503,840 3,110,082 3,192,653
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 3.44% 12.44% 15.00% 0.46% -4.47% -6.20%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc. -5.13% -10.66% -21.61% -1.84% — —
Home Depot Inc. 12.88% 16.94% 21.39% 12.23% — —
Lowe’s Cos. Inc. 18.68% 13.68% 21.65% 9.20% — —
TJX Cos. Inc. 7.14% 4.20% 4.22% -12.63% — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-03).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 134,576 ÷ 3,907,227 = 3.44%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2019 to 2024 indicates a significant transition from economic value destruction to value creation, followed by a recent period of contraction in profitability relative to the cost of capital.

Economic Spread Ratio
A volatile trajectory is observed, beginning with negative spreads of -6.20% in 2019 and -4.47% in 2020, indicating that the return on invested capital was below the cost of capital. A reversal occurred in 2021 as the ratio turned positive at 0.46%, accelerating to a peak of 15.00% in 2022. This performance peaked in 2022 before trending downward to 12.44% in 2023 and further compressing to 3.44% by January 2024.
Economic Profit
Economic profit followed a similar pattern to the spread ratio, moving from deficits of -197.9 million USD in 2019 and -138.9 million USD in 2020 to a positive position in 2021. The company experienced a substantial surge in value creation, peaking at 500.1 million USD in 2022. A subsequent decline was noted in 2023 and 2024, with the final period ending at 134.6 million USD.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable between 2019 and 2023, fluctuating between 3.1 billion USD and 3.5 billion USD. A notable increase occurred in 2024, where invested capital rose to 3.9 billion USD. This expansion in the capital base coincided with the most significant decline in the economic spread ratio during the reported timeframe.

The alignment of increasing invested capital and decreasing economic profit in 2024 suggests a diminishing marginal return on capital deployed, resulting in a narrowed economic spread.

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Economic Profit Margin

Williams-Sonoma Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Feb 2, 2020 Feb 3, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 134,576 435,119 500,058 16,210 (138,926) (197,887)
 
Net revenues 7,750,652 8,674,417 8,245,936 6,783,189 5,898,008 5,671,593
Add: Increase (decrease) in gift card and other deferred revenue 94,675 31,459 74,606 83,551 (832) (10,162)
Adjusted net revenues 7,845,327 8,705,876 8,320,542 6,866,740 5,897,176 5,661,431
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 1.72% 5.00% 6.01% 0.24% -2.36% -3.50%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Amazon.com Inc. -3.00% -6.01% -11.28% -0.79% — —
Home Depot Inc. 4.72% 5.95% 6.80% 4.60% — —
Lowe’s Cos. Inc. 5.61% 3.49% 5.89% 2.91% — —
TJX Cos. Inc. 2.78% 1.72% 1.71% -8.79% — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-03).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net revenues
= 100 × 134,576 ÷ 7,845,327 = 1.72%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory from February 2019 to January 2024 is characterized by a shift from value destruction to a period of significant value creation, followed by a recent downturn. Between 2019 and 2020, economic profit remained negative, signifying that the entity failed to generate returns above its cost of capital. A structural turnaround occurred in 2021, transitioning the company into a phase of substantial value creation that reached its apex in 2022.

Economic Profit Performance
Economic profit transitioned from a deficit of 197.89 million USD in February 2019 to a peak of 500.06 million USD in January 2022. Although the 2023 figures remained robust at 435.12 million USD, a significant contraction was observed by January 2024, with economic profit falling to 134.58 million USD.
Adjusted Net Revenue Trends
A consistent upward trajectory in revenues was observed from February 2019 through January 2023, rising from 5.66 billion USD to a peak of 8.71 billion USD. This growth phase reversed in January 2024, as revenues declined to 7.85 billion USD, correlating with the simultaneous decrease in economic profit.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrored the broader profit trend, evolving from -3.50% in 2019 to a high of 6.01% in January 2022. The subsequent decline to 5.00% in 2023 and further to 1.72% in 2024 indicates a compression in the ability to generate economic value relative to the total revenue base.

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